Carleton College - Political Science
University of Minnesota
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University of Minnesota
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University of Minnesota-Twin Cities
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Carleton College
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Colorado State University
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Minnesota
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Christina Farhart
Personal website for Christina E. Farhart
Christina Farhart
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Christina Farhart
Personal website for Christina E. Farhart
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Conspiracy Endorsement as Motivated Reasoning: The Moderating Roles of Political Knowledge and Trust
Kyle Saunders
Joanne Miller
American Journal of Political Science
Abstract: Given the potential political and social significance of conspiracy beliefs
a substantial and growing body of work examines the individual-level correlates of belief in conspiracy theories and general conspiratorial predispositions. However
although we know much about the psychological antecedents of conspiracy endorsement
we know less about the individual-level political causes of these prevalent and consequential beliefs. Our work draws from the extant literature to posit that endorsement of conspiracy theories is a motivated process that serves both ideological and psychological needs. In doing so
we develop a theory that identifies a particular type of person—one who is both highly knowledgeable about politics and lacking in trust—who is most susceptible to ideologically motivated conspiracy endorsement. Further
we demonstrate that the moderators of belief in conspiracy theories are strikingly different for conservatives and liberals.\n\nReplication Materials: The data
code
and any additional materials required to replicate all analyses in this article are available on the American Journal of Political Science Dataverse within the Harvard Dataverse Network
at: http://dx.doi.org/10.7910/DVN/O3A06T.
Conspiracy Endorsement as Motivated Reasoning: The Moderating Roles of Political Knowledge and Trust
et al.
Hannah Kim
Elizabeth Housholder
Pierce Ekstrom
Timothy Callaghan
Eugene Borgida
Jacob Appleby
Philip Chen
Abstract: In an analysis of the 2012 presidential election
we sought to optimize two key desiderata in capturing campaign effects: establishing causality and measuring dynamic (i.e.
intraindividual) change over time. We first report the results of three survey-experiments embedded within a three-wave survey panel design. Each experiment was focused on a substantive area of electoral concern. Our results suggest
among other findings
that retrospective evaluations exerted a stronger influence on vote choice in the referendum (vs. the choice) frame; that among White respondents
racial animosity strongly predicted economic evaluations for knowledgeable Republicans who were led to believe that positive economic developments were the result of actions taken by the Obama administration; and that information-seeking bias is a contingent phenomenon
one depending jointly on the opportunity and motivation to selectively tune in to congenial information. Lastly
we demonstrate how the panel design also allowed us to (1) examine the reliability and stability of a variety of election-related implicit attitudes
and to assess their impact on candidate evaluation; and (2) determine the causal impact of perceptions of candidates’ traits and respondents’ policy preferences on electoral preferences
and vice versa
an area of research long plagued by concerns about endogeneity.
The Minnesota Multi-Investigator 2012 Presidential Election Panel Study
Christina
The Pew Charitable Trusts