Resume

• 2012

  Doctor of Philosophy - PhD

  Government

  The University of Texas at Austin

• 2010

  Master of Arts - MA

  Political Science

  University of Colorado Boulder

• 2008

  English

  French

  Chinese

  Master of Philosophy (MPhil)

  Political Science

  The University of Hong Kong

• 2004

  Bachelor of Arts (B.A.)

  International Relations

  Excellent Graduate Award;\nPresident of Student Debate Association

  Peking University

• Great Decisions 2018 - China: Economic Power and Geopolitics Part 1

  Dr. Cathy Wu

  Assistant Professor

  Department of Political Science & Geography and Graduate Program in International Studies (GPIS)

  Old Dominion University ...

  Great Decisions 2018 - China: Economic Power and Geopolitics Part 1

  Great Decisions 2018 - China: Economic Power and Geopolitics Part 2

  Dr. Cathy Wu

  Assistant Professor

  Department of Political Science & Geography and Graduate Program in International Studies (GPIS)

  Old Dominion University ...

  Great Decisions 2018 - China: Economic Power and Geopolitics Part 2

  Domestic Drivers of U.S.-China Relations - Panel 2: Domestic Economic Influences

  Moderator: Wenhong Chen (UT Austin) Jessica Chen Weiss (Cornell University): Are Chinese Attitudes becoming more Hawkish? Another look at “Rising Nationalism...

  Domestic Drivers of U.S.-China Relations - Panel 2: Domestic Economic Influences

  Research

  Teaching

  Stata

  Statistics

  Foreign Policy

  Data Analysis

  Analytical Skills

  Public Speaking

  International Relations

  Quantitative Research

  Education

  East Asian affairs

  Political Science

  Game Theory

  Social Sciences

  Trump and Xi will soon meet. What can political science tell us about current U.S.-China tensions?

  I discuss how some latest works on leadership can tell us about current US-China tensions and the Trump-Xi meeting. First

  both Trump and Xi deviate from their predecessors and create huge uncertainty

  which encourages either side to escalate disputes

  but as our paper shows

  tensions will decline after leaders interact more. Trump may not give up tariffs soon

  but positive signs emerge about trade negotiations. Second

  both leaders are hawks and thus view \"sunk costs\" more credible than \"tying hands\" in conveying resolve. Thus

  trade war is necessary for each side to convey resolve. Third

  the prospects of a trade deal/US-China relations are complicated by Trump's incoherent advisors. We see mixed messages from hardliners and moderates before the Trump-Xi meeting. It is unclear yet whether Trump is willing or able to reduce inconsistency.

  Trump and Xi will soon meet. What can political science tell us about current U.S.-China tensions?

  Reputational incentives are ubiquitous explanations for war

  yet consistent evidence of their effects is elusive for two reasons. First

  most work searches for the payment of reputational costs

  yet strategic censoring systematically biases observational data against revealing them. Second

  the locus of reputation is often ambiguous

  yet the choice of leader or state as unit of observation has inferential consequences. Our research design (a) focuses on observable implications of reputational theories in appropriate samples and (b) considers two competing sources of reputational incentives: changes in national leaders and in political institutions. Consistent with our expectations

  leadership turnover and regime change are each associated with initially high probabilities that militarized disputes escalate to the use of force before declining over time in the presence of a reasonable expectation of future disputes. Reputations are in evidence

  but analysts must look for them in the right place.

  Leaders

  States

  and Reputations

  Cathy Xuanxuan

  Wu

  University of Colorado Boulder

  St. Edward's University

  Old Dominion University

  The Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law

  The University of Hong Kong

  The University of Texas at Austin

  Innovations for Peace and Development

  Clements Center for National Security

  Boulder

  CO

  Teaching Assistant

  University of Colorado Boulder

  Austin

  Texas Area

  Teaching Assistant

  The University of Texas at Austin

  Norfolk

  Virginia Area

  Assistant Professor Of Political Science

  Old Dominion University

  The University of Hong Kong

  Innovations for Peace and Development

  Graduate Research Fellow

  Austin

  Texas Area

  Austin

  Texas Area

  https://www.strausscenter.org/nextgen-articles/brumley-nextgen-grad-fellows.html

  Graduate Fellow

  The Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law

  Austin

  Texas Area

  Supplemental Instructor

  The University of Texas at Austin

  Austin

  Texas Area

  Teaching courses on international relations and international organizations

  Instructor

  St. Edward's University

  Austin

  Texas Area

  https://www.clementscenter.org/programs/graduate-fellows-program

  Graduate Fellow

  Clements Center for National Security